Kyler Murray is up there with one of the hardest evals I have ever done. Taking away the fact that the question of whether he is even playing Football looms over him like a cloud, but strictly as a football player, he has question marks. However, he still ends up as my highest graded QB in this draft as of right now. When watching Kyler, the first things that immediately jump out are his elite athleticism and quickness in open space, and his cannon for an arm. Yes he is Doug Flutie little, but the problem with being that small usually is they don’t have the arm talent to make up for it, but this is not the case with Kyler, as he routinely makes NFL throws. When you watch him play, he just looks like a natural. His accuracy and placement are pretty good, although inconsistent, but the potential for a really good NFL QB is there. There is a reason this guy won the Heisman. However, there are legitimate questions. To begin, his size and weight are a serious concern. He’s 5’10 on a good day, and is a lot smaller in bulk compared to guys like WIlson, Mayfield, and Brees. He is a great athlete, but he has lacked progression in being able to go through his 2nd and 3rd reads due to the fact that he can immediately leave the pocket, but that is college, and that will not work in the pros. He constantly makes questionable decisions, almost having too much confidence in his arm to make any throw. Like Baker last year, due to his very good o-line, he has a bad habit of holding onto the ball too long. In addition to all of this, he played in the Big 12, and the rumors are in fact true, there is no defense played whatsoever. All those concerns, along with the whole baseball thing makes me nervous as an NFL team to take him high in the draft. However, if I had to bet on one guy in this god awful QB class, it would be him. I can envision him cleaning up some of his issues, and if he really dedicates himself along with adding some weight, he can be a very good starter in the NFL.
Strengths
Athleticism
Acceleration/Speed
Elite Arm strength
Velocity/Zip on ball
Pretty accurate
Improvising
“Natural”
Potential
Weakness
Decision Making
Tries fitting balls into windows too tight
Pocket Presence(Leaving Pocket too soon)
1 read and go
No concept of reading defenses
Struggles going through progressions
Holds onto the ball too long
Baseball?
Height and Weight
Big 12 defenses
Grade:86
Pro Comp: Smaller Russell Wilson